Thursday 15th January 2026
By inAfrika Newsroom
Ethiopia Eritrea tensions escalated on Thursday after Ethiopian police accused Eritrea of sending ammunition to rebels in the Amhara region, saying they seized thousands of rounds in a shipment linked to the neighbouring state.
Ethiopian authorities said the seizure strengthens their claim that Eritrea is actively supporting armed groups in Amhara, a region that has faced violent unrest and ongoing security operations. The allegation sharpens a feud between the two long time foes and raises concern among analysts who warn that deterioration could increase the risk of wider confrontation.
Eritrea’s information minister did not immediately respond to a request for comment in the report. However, the lack of an official response leaves the accusation in a contested space, which is common in disputes involving security claims and cross border activity.
The wider context is fragile. Ethiopia’s federal authorities have faced repeated security flare ups in different regions. Meanwhile, Eritrea’s relations with Ethiopia have swung sharply over the years, moving from hostility to cooperation and back toward mistrust depending on shifting alliances and domestic pressures.
For businesses and investors, any escalation carries clear downside risk. Border tensions can disrupt trade corridors, raise insurance costs, and tighten transport capacity. In addition, political stress can slow investment decisions in infrastructure and manufacturing, especially where projects depend on predictable cross border logistics.
Diplomatically, the accusation also complicates regional coordination on migration, security, and economic integration. Therefore, neighbours and regional blocs may face pressure to encourage restraint, even if they avoid public mediation.
Next steps for Ethiopia Eritrea tensions
Security agencies are likely to release more detail on the seized shipment, while diplomats will watch for any formal Eritrean response or counter claim.
Why it matters
Horn of Africa stability affects trade routes, humanitarian conditions, and regional investment confidence. Therefore, rising Ethiopia Eritrea tensions can ripple well beyond the two countries.
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